Scattered moderate to heavy rains observed in southern Somalia and eastern Kenya.
Below-average rains persist in central Angola, southern Zambia, and eastern South Africa.
1) Low and poorly distributed seasonal “Deyr” rains have led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions throughout several local areas in southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits have persisted over many localized areas.
2) Suppressed and erratic rains across parts of southern Cote d’Ivoire and southern Ghana during October have led to strengthening dryness.
Suppressed rains are forecast throughout the region during early November.
3) Since late September, erratic and poorly distributed rains have led to strong moisture deficits throughout many parts of northern Angola. The early season dryness follows drought conditions from a poor rains season last year, which may further exacerbate ground conditions.
4) Several weeks of infrequent and low rainfall totals have led to anomalously early season dryness throughout parts of southern DRC and Zambia. The forecast suppressed rains during the next week are likely to worsen conditions on the ground.
5) Since October, poorly distributed rains and dry spells have led to a deterioration of ground conditions throughout several states of South Africa, southeastern Botswana, and Swaziland.